RE/MAX Releases 2016 Housing Market Outlook Report

Shami Sandhu, Broker/Owner of RE/MAX River City was recently interviewed on 630 Ched Radio for the local Edmonton real estate opinion of the recent RE/MAX 2016 Market Outlook Report.

 

The Quick Facts

Nationally

  • Vancouver @ $947,000 +17%
  • Toronto @ $622,000 +10%
  • Nationwide expectations are 2.5% increase
  • 91% of Canadian say that home ownership is part of the Canadian dream

Calgary

  • Avg $ dropped 5% to $462,000
  • 2016 Expecting avg $ to go down 4%

Edmonton, Alberta

  • Listing inventory is up
  • Avg days on market from 43 to 57 w/ almost 6 months of inventory
  • Avg $ went up almost 2% to $373,450
  • $5 billion dollars in DT development is stimulating the economy
  • Some buyers have been cautious this this year
  • Condo market has slowed but kept it’s value. Only 50% of the condos are selling.

Commentary

The drop in oil prices has led to uncertainty in Edmonton’s housing market. Listing inventory is up, as newly built homes and condominiums compete with resale properties in a buyer’s market. Average days on market increased from 43 in October 2014 to 57 in October 2015, and there was a 5.8 month supply of inventory on the market as of Oct. 31. Despite higher inventory, the average residential sale price is up slightly year-over-year, from $367,038 in 2014 to approximately $373,450. While the market has seen a shift over the past year, an ongoing $5 billion development project in downtown Edmonton has stimulated the local economy and helped to keep employment levels up. Potential buyers have been cautious this year as they wait to see how the economy will shift over the next several months.

First-time buyers

The first-time buyer market in Edmonton has shifted over the past few years. There are fewer single potential buyers moving to the city for high-paying jobs and purchasing on their own. Now, first-time buyers tend to be young couples or families. These first-time buyers typically enter the market by purchasing a home in the $350,000 range, which could be a half-duplex in an established neighbourhood closer to downtown, or a newer house in the suburbs.

Condo market

Condominiums have been more affected by the downturn in the housing market than detached homes. There is a good supply of condo inventory on the market, due to significant development over the past several years. In 2014, 67 per cent of condo listings were sold, whereas from January to October of this year, only 49% were sold. While sales of condo units are down year-over-year, the average price remains stable. The average 2015 sale price for a condo at the end of October was $252,956, on par with the 2014 average of $252,159.

Luxury homes

Edmonton’s luxury market has been slower this year. There is good selection for potential buyers as there are higher inventory levels than in other segments of the market. This is due to new construction that has recently come up for sale.

Future Trends into 2016

  • Significant development in downtown Edmonton is expected to continue to provide employment
  • The new Rogers Arena, Royal Alberta Museum, shops and hotels in the area are expected to increase tourism
  • The RE/MAX 2016 average residential sale price expectation for Edmonton is a decrease of 3.5 per cent

The radio interview can be heard here: http://www.630ched.com/audio-vault/
Search for December 10, 2015 at 3pm.

Download the full report from RE/MAX here 

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